Hugging Face
IBM has released Granite Time Series PatchTST-FM-r2, a roughly 385-million-parameter foundation model for zero-shot forecasting across demand, prices, energy loads, traffic, telemetry, and other time series. The model uses conformer blocks combining multi-head self-attention with temporal convolution, 50% overlapping patches with Hamming-window weighting, overlap-and-add forecasting, contexts up to 8,192 steps, and a 99-quantile prediction head for probabilistic outputs and imputation support. On GIFT-Eval, it ranks second for both CRPS and MASE among replicable zero-shot models as of September 8, 2026, and first in that category among permissively licensed models; including pretrained models, it ranks third for CRPS and fourth for MASE. IBM provides open weights, architecture, inference code, and reproducibility code under Apache 2.0 and OpenMDW 1.0. The release also describes Python use and streaming integration through Apache Flink on Confluent Cloud.